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Ohio State statisticians try to reconcile different climate models
How hot will it get? Image courtesy NASA.
By Summit Voice
SUMMIT COUNTY — Average temperatures in the Rocky Mountains could soar by more than 6 degrees in the summer and 4 degrees in the winter in the next few decades, according to a new statistical analysis of climate models by researchers at Ohio State University.
The Hudson Bay region will likely experience the largest temperature swings, especially in the winter. Temperatures could rise an average of about 10.7 degrees, possibly because meting ice will reduce the region’s albedo. In the summer, the Hudson Bay region might only see average temperatures rise by about 2 degrees, the scientists said after fine-tuning a sophisticated climate model that helps narrow the gap between previous predictions.
The analysis examines groups of regional climate models, finds the commonalities between them, and determines how much weight each individual climate projection should get in a consensus climate estimate. Through maps on the statisticians’ website, people can see how their own region’s temperature will likely change by 2070 – overall, and for individual seasons of the year. (more…)
Filed under: climate and weather, Environment, global warming | Tagged: climate change, Climate model, global warming, Hudson Bay, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change | 2 Comments »
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