Storm could bring dangerous surge, flash flooding in the hills
By Summit Voice
SUMMIT COUNTY — Hurricane watches have been hoisted along the southwest coast of Baja, where a rare land-falling storm could bring a dangerous storm surge and the chance flash flooding in coastal hills.
Hurricane Paul is barreling toward the Baja coast with sustained winds still topping 100 mph, although the National Hurricane Center says the storm could weaken significantly before hitting the coast sometime late Tuesday or early Wednesday.
The hurricane warning is in effect for Santa Fe northward to Punta Abreojos, with a tropical storm warning in effect northward to El Pocito, and south of Santa Fe to Agua Blanca. The warning is also in effect for the east coast of Baja from La Paz to Bahia San Juan Bautista. All updated warnings for Paul at at this National Hurricane Center web page.
According to the latest forecast discussion, the storm weakened late Monday, when the eye filled in. But the recent eastward shift in the forecast track means the storm will stay over relatively warm water until it makes landfall; however strong wind shear from the Southwest will weaken the system to some degree. Most models are suggesting that Paul will still be at hurricane strength when it hits the coast, potentially with 75 mph winds.